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China iron ore supply summary

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Our estimated 2025 average total cash cost of Chinese iron ore mines is US$70.4/wet tonne, down from US$70.6/wet tonne in 2024. In comparison, our 2025 global non-China total cash cost is US$36.6/wet tonne. In 2025, the decline in power and energy prices drove cost reductions; however, this was partially offset by deteriorating resource quality, deeper mining operations, and increased safety and environmental investments, resulting in a modest year-on-year cost decline overall. Looking ahead to 2026, we anticipate Chinese domestic iron ore mine costs will rise, driven by a significant uptick in energy prices, declining production volumes, and sustained Chinese yuan appreciation. We forecast the average total cash cost of Chinese iron ore mines at US$75.8/wet tonne in 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.7%.

Table of contents

  • China advances strategic mineral exploration initiative with major iron ore discoveries
  • Anshan-Benxi-Liaoning region
  • East Hebei region
  • Lvliang-Taiyuan-Xinzhou region
  • Hanxing-Luzhong region
  • Baotou-Baiyunebo region
  • Anhui region
  • Hubei region
  • Panzhihua-Xichang region
  • Domestic mine capacity outlook
  • Domestic iron ore infrastructure
  • Imported iron ore infrastructure
  • 4 more item(s)...

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

    2026 China’s iron ore CO2e emission curve – by product2026 iron ore’s CO2e emission curve (Scope 1 and 2)2026 Global cash cost curve (value-in-use adjusted)
    2026 China cash cost curve (value-in-use adjusted)Marketable productionCosted production by mine typeNew projects capacity additions during the 15th Five-Year Plan periodConcentrate capacity additions by province during the 15th Five-Year Plan periodImported iron ore flows62% Fe adjusted CFR China cost curveChina full iron ore cost curve 62% Fe adjustedCapital costs
  • 2 more item(s)...

What's included

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    China iron ore supply summary

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