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If the world acts decisively to limit global warming to 2°C by 2050, the scale of change will revolutionise the energy industry. Progressive electrification will squeeze the most polluting hydrocarbons out of the energy mix, nearly eliminating their markets. Oil demand will shrink, and with it, so will the power of major oil producers. Gas demand will remain resilient, but business models will need to evolve.
At present, few countries require producers to either pay a carbon tax or participate in an emissions trading scheme (ETS). But as governments seek to meet decarbonisation targets, that could soon change. Carbon charges are likely to come, and they will transform the upstream sector, affecting both asset values and the industry’s economics.
Wood Mackenzie’s latest report shows that the global offshore wind operations and maintenance (O&M) market is expected to grow 16% annually to reach US$12 billion (€10 billion) by 2029.
What are the biggest emissions trends to watch this year? James Whiteside, Wood Mackenzie Global Head of Multi-Commodity Research, and Amy Bowe, Wood Mackenzie Head of Carbon Research, see five key themes
With hopes of vaccines setting a better course for 2021, this year will see policymakers and market participants focus on initial but substantive steps towards net-zero objectives.
If the plastics value chain is to become more sustainable, the industry must focus on reducing the amount of mismanaged waste and recapturing as much of its value as possible. To do this, more investment must be allocated to chemical recycling technologies, according to Wood Mackenzie.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson has announced the UK's new 10-point climate action plan.
Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to reach 45 million units per year by 2040, with a total global EV stock of 323 million, according to new research from Wood Mackenzie.
546 microgrids were installed in the United States during 2019, more than any previous year, according to new research from Wood Mackenzie.
Bangladesh is expected to double its fossil fuel imports to 32 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe) between 2020 and 2030, says Wood Mackenzie.
A new report from Wood Mackenzie shows that olefins production losses in Asia have reached historical highs as a result of regional lockdowns in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak.
The level of uncertainty and anxiety among upstream producers and supply chain has rarely been higher. In 2020, decision-making will be more heavily influenced by sentiment surrounding the energy transition, political upheaval and trade disputes than in previous years. This adds to the ever-present risks of unexpected supply-demand imbalance, niche cost inflation or a global economic downturn. What are the biggest trends to watch in the upstream oil and gas business in 2020? Fraser McKay, head of upstream analysis at Wood Mackenzie, sees five key themes.
Chinese polyester market growth is expected to sit at just below 3% in 2020, a marked decline from the strong growth seen between 2018 and 2019. This dip in performance is mainly due to slashed growth for bottle-grade PET, according to Wood Mackenzie.
The gas transit and supply contracts between Russia and Ukraine expire at 10 am on 1 January 2020 (Moscow time) – the future of Ukraine transit remains the largest uncertainty for global gas markets in 2020. Murray Douglas, director, European gas at global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie, said: “Ukraine remains the major transit route for Russian gas into Europe – over 76 billion cubic metres (cm) will be transported via Ukraine this year."
According to a new report by Wood Mackenzie, China’s wind repowering market is expected to take off from 2023. More than 21 gigawatts (GW) (cumulative capacity) of China’s wind turbine fleet is expected to be repowered over the next 10 years (2019-2028).
Project cancellations and delays connecting planned projects to the electric grid will lead the US microgrid market to contract 17% from its 2018 peak by the end of this year, according to new research from Wood Mackenzie.
Chevron has given the green light to the Anchor development in deepwater US Gulf of Mexico. This is Chevron’s first greenfield final investment decision as an operator since its sanction of Big Foot and Jack/St Malo in 2010.
2019 has been a year of successes within the recycled PET (RPET) industry.
In the latest Australia east coast gas market research, Wood Mackenzie projects that the LNG netback price for Australia’s east coast could bottom out to A$6.50 – A$9 per gigajoule (GJ) over the next two years.
Green hydrogen production can compete with fossil fuel-based hydrogen by 2030 in Australia, Germany and Japan, should renewable power prices reach US$30 per megawatt hour (MWh), new research from global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie indicates.
New research from Wood Mackenzie indicates that the creation of a national pipeline company in China is a step in the right direction but will result in higher end-user prices in the short-term as the country tries to balance institutional reform with implementation risks.
Airbags are a core and growing part of the industrial textile portfolio. Current global airbag yarn demand sits at 164 ktpa and is expected to reach 237 ktpa by 2025, according to a new report from Wood Mackenzie.
Highlights from Wood Mackenzie's 2019 North America wind power outlook
Over 650 GW of new onshore and 130 GW of new offshore wind capacity will be installed between 2018 and 2028. This will consume in excess of 5.5Mt of copper, according to a recent analysis by Wood Mackenzie.
Despite speculation that a No-Deal Brexit would have a severe impact on the UK refining industry, Wood Mackenzie’s analysis indicates that while the sector’s dynamics would shift and margins will narrow, it would not be crippled.
The US microgrid industry may find opportunities for substantial future growth in geographical areas that are repeatedly affected by power outages, as customers seek out resilient solutions, new research from Wood Mackenzie found.
Europe's flexible packaging market is predicted to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2% over the next five years to reach over €16 billion in 2023.
The transition to a 100% renewable US power grid will need investment of up to US$4.5 trillion over the next 10 to 20 years, new analysis from Wood Mackenzie found.
According to research by natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie, Malaysia offers some of the most material and attractive upstream investment opportunities in Southeast Asia, primarily due to the need for additional gas supply.
According to research by Wood Mackenzie, Australia's Beetaloo basin is the only new gas resource with sufficient scale to supply the east coast market in the long term.
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